When we learned this morning via the Washington Post
that Meridian Bioscience, Inc. (NASDAQ:VIVO) of Cincinnati had shipped
thousands of vials of a deadly strain of influenza virus to
destinations around the world, we expected to see a sharp decline in
the value of its stock. Meridian Bioscience’s stock price did open
lower, but had risen above the previous day’s closing price by 11 AM on
a day when every major equity index was in the red. By day's end,
the NASDAQ was down 1.5% but the company's share price was up .25%.
A closer look at the nature of Meridian’s business may shed some
light on the counter-intuitive market result. Meridian’s annual report
states that the first of its three principal businesses is "the
development, manufacture, sale and distribution of diagnostic test
kits, primarily for certain respiratory, gastrointestinal, viral and
parasitic infectious diseases." The report later boasts, "Meridian
offers one of the broadest product lines available for diagnosing
respiratory infections including those caused by influenza A." It turns
out that H2N2, the deadly strain distributed by the company is a strain
of Type A influenza.
This strain released by Meridian
bioscience killed an estimated 1 to 4 million people in the 1950s,
according to the Post article, and could potentially infect anyone born
after its last outbreak in 1968. The World Health Organization issued
recommendations to labs worldwide to destroy the virus.
"This
virus could cause a pandemic," said Klaus Stohr, the World Health
Organization's (WHO) top flu expert. "We are talking about a fully
transmissible human influenza virus to which the majority of the
population has no immunity. We are concerned."
We could
locate no public statement Meridian Bioscience as of this writing as to
the curious market result. The company appears to do well,
however, when diseases like influenza and SARS flourish, driving
demand for its diagnostic products. Analysts at market research firm
Robert W. Baird concluded
that influenza tests are significant to Meridian’s bottom line. Baird’s
analysts downgraded the company to a "Neutral" rating in December 2004
when it appeared that the flu season was particularly mild. This
mirrored an event from August, 2003, when market research firm Hilliard
Lyons reported that, "…the SARS tests in Asia extensively employed
Meridian’s diagnostic tests, which resulted in higher revenues for the
company."
Outbreaks of infectious diseases typically occur naturally. However, the Washington Post noted that laboratory releases accounted for all but four of the known SARS cases.
When a company does or may profit from its own errors, it raises public questions of conflict of interest. Discuss this article on the forums. (5 posts)
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